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Hill aides say Johnson will last the rest of this Congress as speaker.

Capitol Hill leaders say Mike Johnson is staying, for now

Most Capitol Hill senior staffers believe Mike Johnson is unlikely to be removed as speaker of the House before the end of this Congress. It’s not a commanding majority — 62% — but it signals that things may be better for the Louisiana Republican than conventional wisdom previously thought.

Last month, Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) filed a motion to vacate against Johnson. Despite that setback, our Canvass respondents believed in the speaker’s staying power in the survey conducted April 1-19 in partnership with independent public affairs firm, LSG.

On April 17, Johnson pushed forward on the $95 billion foreign aid package for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan, an unpopular move among conservative members in his party. Johnson did this in the closing days of our survey. But a few days earlier, House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries indicated that Democrats would likely save the speaker if hardline conservatives moved forward with the motion to vacate.

When we polled K Street leaders in March, 73% of them said Johnson was an ineffective speaker.

Want to take part in The Canvass? Our survey provides anonymous monthly insights from top Capitol Hill staffers and K Street leaders on key issues facing Washington. Sign up here if you work on K Street. Click here to sign up if you’re a senior congressional staffer.

— Robert O’Shaughnessy

Presented by The Coalition to Project American Jobs

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Editorial photos provided by Getty Images. Political ads courtesy of AdImpact.