The Archive
Every issue of the Punchbowl News newsletter, including our special editions, right here at your fingertips.
Join the community, and get the morning edition delivered straight to your inbox.
PRESENTED BY

THE TOP

It’s Tuesday morning.
We begin today in a familiar place. In a nation awash in guns, this July 4th holiday saw more horrific gun violence. This time, two shootings marred celebrations of the country’s 246th birthday.
→ | Six people died and two dozen were injured in a mass shooting in another American city. This time it was Highland Park, Ill., a Chicago suburb. Videos from the incident, including from our friend Lynn Sweet, a longtime Chicago Sun-Times reporter, showed a chaotic scene as the panicked crowd fled from a shooter atop a building. A “person of interest” was later arrested. |
Here’s the Chicago Tribune describing the nightmarish scene:
On an idyllic summer morning, from a rooftop high above the Highland Park Independence Day parade, a gunman aimed down at the floats and lawn chairs and strollers and opened fire.
The high school marching band’s members sprinted for their lives, still carrying their flutes and saxophones. Bystanders scooped up young children and fled. In all, six people were killed. Some two dozen others were injured, either by rifle fire or in the stampede away from the scene. The victims ranged in age from 8 to 85. …
For hours after the attack, officers searched building by building near the parade route, which was littered with belongings abandoned in the chaos: A double stroller. Balloons. Bikes. Pacifiers. Sandals. A hat printed with stars and stripes. …
Some witnesses worried that the community may have been targeted because of its significant Jewish population. The northern suburbs have seen a rash of anti-Semitic sentiment in recent months, including on Holocaust Remembrance Day in April, when someone left anti-Semitic flyers in driveways in Highland Park. …
Speaking outside a Highland Park fire station late Monday afternoon, Gov. J.B. Pritzker decried the shooting, saying he spoke with President Joe Biden about it earlier. They both agree on one thing, Pritzker said: “This madness must stop.”
Pritzker is in the middle of a re-election campaign. His GOP gubernatorial opponent, Darren Bailey, made a brief reference to the Highland Park massacre in a Facebook video, then declared “Let’s move on and let’s celebrate.”
Here’s more from the Chicago Tribune:
In a Facebook post from Skokie, where Darren Bailey was scheduled to march with supporters in a Fourth of July parade until it was canceled, the Republican governor nominee joined with backers as he took a moment for prayer for the families of victims after declaring, “Let’s move on and let’s celebrate.”
Bailey is an ardent gun rights supporter who opposes firearm regulations and supports the elimination of the state’s firearm owner’s identification card registry. In his prayer, he called on God to heal “the mental illness that is creating these problems.”
Bailey, a state senator, later apologized. “I apologize if in any way we diminished the pain being felt across our state today,” Bailey said in a statement.
Over the holiday weekend – and this isn’t including the terrible Highland Park massacre – nine people were shot to death in Chicago with another 52 wounded.
→ | In Philadelphia, two police officers were shot during that city’s July 4th fireworks show and free concert. Like Highland Park, videos from the scene showed a terrified crowd fleeing the scene. |
The officers were later released from the hospital. One officer had a bullet lodged in his hat but miraculously survived the incident.
From the Philadelphia Inquirer:
Two police officers were shot Monday night on the Benjamin Franklin Parkway near the Philadelphia Museum of Art just as the Fourth of July concert had concluded and fireworks got underway.
Thousands of panicked spectators ran as police ordered them off the Parkway. Others close to the stage were directed to take cover there as a search continued for the shooter both on the ground and with the help of searchlight-equipped police helicopters overhead.
So here we are, the day after Independence Day.
– Jake Sherman and John Bresnahan
New: Join us on Wednesday, July 20 at 7:45 a.m. ET for our interview with Sens. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Ben Cardin (D-Md.) at Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses Advocacy Day at Nationals Park. We’ll be talking to Rubio and Cardin about the challenges facing small business owners coming out of the pandemic. Cardin is the chair of the Senate Small Business Committee and Rubio is the second-ranking Republican on the panel. This event is the third in the four-part “Road to Recovery” series sponsored by Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses Voices. RSVP here!
PRESENTED BY IBM
There is no more time to waste: The Bipartisan Innovation Act Conference Committee must work together to fully fund the CHIPS Act now and bolster the U.S. as a global semiconductor innovation leader.
MONEY GAME
Exclusive: Slotkin posts big Q2 numbers

News: Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-Mich.) raised just over $1.5 million in the second quarter of 2022, according to fundraising numbers we got a sneak peak at.
Slotkin enters the four-month stretch before the midterms with a whopping $6.5 million cash on hand.
Make no mistake, Slotkin’s Lansing-area seat will be one of the toughest for Democrats to hold, particularly in an election year that heavily favors Republicans.
But the Frontline Democrat has two things going for her — she’s an incumbent with high name ID, and she has a huge cash advantage. Plus, the former CIA analyst has already won two battleground races in 2018 and 2020. Former President Donald Trump narrowly carried Slotkin’s district in 2020.
Slotkin’s GOP opponent, Tom Barrett, had $396,000 cash on hand at the end of the first quarter. Barrett is a Michigan state senator and Army veteran.
Yet Slotkin, like every vulnerable Democrat, will have to significantly outrun President Joe Biden’s abysmal poll numbers, which are hovering in the high thirties right now.
Also: Slotkin is going up with her first TV ad of the campaign, a 30-second spot touting her bipartisan bona fides and highlighting her defense background. The ad makes no mention of her opponent.
Watch the full ad here. A snippet:
“As a CIA officer, I was proud to work with two presidents, one from each party. And I served three tours in Iraq alongside our military.”
Michigan’s 7th District, where Slotkin is running this cycle, includes multiple counties she doesn’t currently represent.
— Heather Caygle
U.S. ECONOMY
Will Biden end China tariffs?
President Joe Biden is edging closer to ending some or all of the tariffs and economic sanctions imposed on China during the Trump era.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen held a video call with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He to discuss the U.S. restrictions. The two hadn’t spoken since last fall.
The White House is desperately searching for ways to relieve inflationary pressure, and cutting tariffs on the more than $350 billion worth of Chinese goods imported annually to the United States is seen as one way of doing that.
Yet China hasn’t fulfilled its commitments to boost purchases of U.S. goods as required under the 2020 trade deal. And looking “soft” on China, especially with its increasingly belligerent tone on Taiwan, huge military buildup and horrible human rights record, isn’t great politics. So there’s been months of debate inside the Biden administration on what to do here. Biden could make an announcement as early as this week.
Here’s Bloomberg on the Yellen-Liu call:
Senior US and Chinese officials discussed US economic sanctions and tariffs Tuesday amid reports the Biden administration is close to rolling back some of the trade levies imposed by former President Donald Trump.
The lifting of tariffs and sanctions and the fair treatment of Chinese enterprises are areas of concern to China, Vice Premier Liu He told US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in a video call Tuesday morning Beijing time, according to a statement from China’s Ministry of Commerce. The two officials last spoke in October.
– John Bresnahan
PRESENTED BY IBM

The American Semiconductor Innovation Coalition (ASIC) and its 80+ members are dedicated to addressing the chip crisis and propelling U.S. semiconductor leadership.
THE CAMPAIGN
→ | Senate Majority PAC, the Democratic leadership-aligned super PAC, is running an ad in Phoenix and Tucson saying Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.) is “getting the job done” by working with Republicans and Democrats. Kelly, of course, is in one of the most hotly contested Senate races of the cycle. |
– Jake Sherman

We have more: It’s Canvass Week and we’re excited to share with you more data from our latest edition of The Canvass: K Street.
Punchbowl News and the independent polling firm Locust Street Group have put together an anonymous survey of downtown figures. Just like what we’ve done on Capitol Hill, we are the only media outlet getting a pulse of the top figures on K Street. Follow along in our AM newsletters this week as we share more data from our survey of top downtown leaders.
The midterm elections are just over four months away and Democrats are anxious to improve their standing with voters, but soaring inflation is a huge concern for the party.
We asked senior K Street leaders who or what they believe is most to blame for inflation or the rising costs of goods and services. 53% of respondents blamed the supply chain crisis for the rising inflation rates. 48% of respondents said it was due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

A huge majority of those we surveyed believe the Biden administration has been ineffective at communicating about reducing inflation. A whopping 90% of respondents held this view, including 86% of Democrats.

With inflation such a huge problem. Democrats have thrown many ideas at the wall searching for solutions – a gas tax holiday, rollbacks on Chinese tariffs, cracking down on gas price gouging — to name just a few.
Here’s what downtown influencers think President Joe Biden should do:

Concern about a potential recession is growing. More than half — 51% — of K Street leaders said their company is preparing for a recession.

Are you a senior aide on Capitol Hill and want to participate? Sign up here. Want to participate in The Canvass: K Street? Sign up here.
– Christian Hall
MOMENTS
9:30 a.m.: President Joe Biden will get his daily intelligence briefing.
11:15 a.m.: Biden will award the Medal of Honor to four U.S. soldiers who fought in the Vietnam War: Edward N. Kaneshiro, Dwight W. Birdwell, Dennis M. Fujii and John J. Duffy.
12:40 p.m.: Vice President Kamala Harris will leave Los Angeles for Chicago.
3 p.m.: Karine Jean-Pierre will brief.
5:15 p.m.: Harris will speak at the National Education Association’s meeting.
7:25 p.m.: Harris will leave Chicago for D.C.
Biden’s week: Wednesday: Biden will speak about the economy in Cleveland. Thursday: Biden will award the Presidential Medal of Freedom. Friday: Biden will visit CIA headquarters in Langley to mark its 75th anniversary.
CLIP FILE
NYT
→ | “Will the Abortion Debate Keep Moderate Women in the Democrats’ Camp?” by Katie Glueck in Grand Rapids, Mich. |
→ | “Has Biden’s Top Diplomat in Mexico Gone Too Far, Officials Ask?” by Natalie Kitroeff and Maria Abi-Habib in Mexico City |
→ | “Ukraine’s prime minister says rebuilding will cost $750 billion,” by Dan Bilefsky and Nick Cumming-Bruce |
WaPo
→ | “Garland weighs racial equity as he considers death penalty in Buffalo,” by David Nakamura |
→ | “With Roe overturned, Democrats present a patchwork of countermeasures,” by Annie Linskey, Mike DeBonis, Marianna Sotomayor and Tyler Pager |
WSJ
→ | “If the U.S. Is in a Recession, It’s a Very Strange One,” by Jon Hilsenrath |
→ | “Lessons of Russia’s War in Ukraine: You Can’t Hide and Weapons Stockpiles Are Essential,” by Daniel Michaels in Brussels |
AP
→ | “Kobach looks for comeback in Kansas after losing 2 big races,” by John Hanna in Topeka, Kan. |
→ | “Griner sends letter to President Biden pleading for his help,” by Doug Feinberg |
Politico
→ | “The lore of ‘CODELs’: How foreign travel helps Congress at home,” by Andrew Desiderio in Madrid |
Detroit News
→ | “Detroit chamber endorses two U.S. House lawmakers in contested primaries,” by Melissa Nann Burke |
PRESENTED BY IBM
Bipartisan Action: The Bipartisan Innovation Act Conference Committee must act swiftly to deliver funding for the CHIPS Act and usher in a new era of U.S. leadership in semiconductor innovation and manufacturing.
Editorial photos provided by Getty Images. Political ads courtesy of AdImpact.

Crucial Capitol Hill news AM, Midday, and PM—5 times a week
Join a community of some of the most powerful people in Washington and beyond. Exclusive newsmaker events, parties, in-person and virtual briefings and more.
Subscribe to Premium
The Canvass Year-End Report
And what senior aides and downtown figures believe will happen in 2023.
Check it out