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THE TOP
Happy Thursday morning. There are 12 days until Election Day.
News: Rep. Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) still hasn’t made up his mind whether to run for the House Democratic leadership. Schiff is now expected to make a decision closer to Election Day, according to sources familiar with his plans.
Schiff has been tantalized by another prospect: running for Sen. Dianne Feinstein’s (D-Calif.) seat should the 89-year-old retire. Feinstein is up for re-election in 2024. Should Feinstein leave office before the end of her term, California Gov. Gavin Newsom has vowed to replace her with a Black woman.
But Schiff’s behind-the-scenes work to set himself up for a run for Democratic leader is far more intricate than previously reported.
Schiff held a September leadership planning meeting with several Democrats, including Reps. Eric Swalwell (Calif.), Mike Thompson (Calif.), Mark Takano (Calif.) and Mike Quigley (Ill.), among others. This is especially notable because Swalwell and Thompson are close allies of Speaker Nancy Pelosi.
Schiff is also very close to the speaker. But Pelosi hasn’t said what her plans are for after the election, much less made any public moves to endorse a successor. And it’s not clear what impact an endorsement would have, even from Pelosi.
The 62-year-old Schiff’s argument for the job is that he’s battle tested and has the experience to run the House Democratic Caucus. Schiff – a graduate of Harvard Law School and a former federal prosecutor – was the lead House manager for the first impeachment trial of former President Donald Trump. He’s taken on other high-profile assignments for Pelosi as well, including serving as Intelligence Committee chair.
Schiff has articulated to other Democrats the changes he’d make to the House should he take the chamber’s top job. Some examples: Bills need to originate from committees, and if a bill reaches a certain level of support inside a committee, it would get a vote in the panel. Schiff would give prized appointments – select committee assignments and boards, for example – to a wider swath of lawmakers.
And as Schiff told us in Austin last month, he supports term limits for committee chairs. This position, while controversial among older members, could garner him some huge points with younger Democrats.
The caucus has been ruled by the same octogenarian trio for a generation – Pelosi, Steny Hoyer and Jim Clyburn. Democrats have resisted embracing term limits for any leadership or top committee posts, meaning members have to wait years — even decades — to land in a position of power. Yet key factions inside the caucus, including the Congressional Black Caucus, have traditionally opposed term limits, arguing that they’re detrimental for minority lawmakers.
However, in a caucus that is growing increasingly younger and less beholden to leadership, the idea of waiting for years to have a say in crafting the party’s political and legislative agenda is becoming less attractive.
The California Democrat has stepped up his fundraising of late too. Just last month, Schiff raised or gave $1.4 million to the DCCC and Democratic candidates.
Of course, Schiff would face an uphill battle in winning the Democratic leader job should Pelosi retire. House Democratic Caucus Chair Hakeem Jeffries is eyeing the slot. And no one has any idea what Hoyer would do if Pelosi departs after 35 years in Congress.
There’s also internal Democratic politics for Schiff to navigate. In a caucus where more than half the members are women and people of color, the idea of a white man succeeding an iconic woman leader may be too much for some of his colleagues.
In addition, several members have told us they’re not convinced Schiff is fully committed to the job — or is just waiting for what he sees as a better opportunity to come along.
What happens on Election Day will impact all of this, of course.
Important: The third-quarter GDP will be released at 8:30 a.m. this morning. Analysts predict the new data will show the U.S. economy grew by 2-3% last quarter after contracting during the first half of 2022. President Joe Biden and Democrats could really use some good news at this point. Some Republicans are already dismissing it as a “ghost report” since the “Biden recession” is on its way next year.
– Jake Sherman, Heather Caygle and John Bresnahan
TODAY: We’re interviewing Rep. French Hill (R-Ark.) at 9 a.m. ET about issues facing American workers and their impact on financial security. Join us on the livestream here!
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A QUICK NOTE
Will Biden call out McCarthy in Syracuse?
President Joe Biden will fly to Syracuse, N.Y., today to talk about the new Micron facility there. But Biden will also use the speech to lay out “the choice between two economic agendas, and Congressional Republicans’ plan to raise inflation and costs for American families.”
In other words, there are 12 days until Election Day, so the White House is drawing a contrast with Republicans.
On Wednesday, two senior White House officials held a background briefing for reporters on the president’s speech. These officials said Biden would compare the Democrats’ agenda and what the administration sees as a “mega MAGA trickle-down agenda that will increase inflation and costs for families.” Here’s a fact sheet from the White House, laying out what Biden may address.
In recent weeks, Biden has invoked House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy’s name during political events at DNC headquarters, at the National Education Association headquarters in D.C. and at the Howard Theater.
So Republicans and Democrats are both watching closely to see whether Biden will use this event to go after the House GOP lawmaker trying to become the next speaker.
Democrats are also focusing more on economic themes in the closing days of the election cycle, with these issues as the top concerns for voters. A number of Democrats had been focusing more on abortion and GOP extremism throughout the summer and fall.
The view from McCarthy world is that anytime Biden mentions McCarthy’s name, they’re elevating him.
– Jake Sherman
LEADER LOOK
LaHood’s case for NRCC chair
The way Rep. Darin LaHood (R-Ill.) sees it, his bid to helm the House Republican campaign arm hinges on fundraising prowess. LaHood, who leads the National Republican Congressional Committee’s Finance Committee, is promising to raise large sums to defend a GOP majority if he’s elected NRCC chair during the upcoming Republican leadership elections.
LaHood is competing against Rep. Richard Hudson (R-N.C.) in the race to succeed Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.) as NRCC chair. It’s a position that can springboard ambitious members into the upper echelons of leadership. Emmer is currently seeking the whip position.
LaHood, 54, is decidedly the underdog in this race. Hudson’s relationships across the conference are very strong. Hudson, in his fifth term, is also a former chief of staff to several members of the Texas delegation and has deep ties with the Lone Star State delegation, a crucial voting bloc in the House GOP Conference. Our profile on Hudson will run tomorrow morning.
Unlike the race to become GOP whip in the next Congress, there’s no bad blood in the NRCC election. LaHood insisted to us he’s “not running against anybody, I’m running for the job” and called Hudson “a friend.” Yet the Illinois Republican says his fundraising experience sets him apart from Hudson and makes him the best candidate for the job.
“Being the finance chair distinguishes me. Because if you look at it again, record amount of money at the NRCC this cycle, I’ve been in charge of that — nobody else,” LaHood told us. “That money is gonna get us across the finish line.”
The “nobody else” line isn’t exactly true. House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy has raised gobs of money for the NRCC and would’ve done so no matter who was finance chair.
LaHood, though, touts how the NRCC ended the third quarter with a record $92.3 million on hand..
LaHood, now in his fourth term, has also raised $3.7 million for his reelection campaign this cycle and distributed $685,500 to candidates and the NRCC from his campaign coffers. LaHood’s leadership PAC has sent another $637,500 to candidates this cycle.
Here’s LaHood on fundraising:
“It’s the most important part about the job and you need somebody that’s not afraid to do it, that’s not afraid to ask people — whether it’s a good cycle or a bad cycle. It takes persuasion, it takes advocacy.”
LaHood also hails his working relationship with the party’s standard bearer, former President Donald Trump. This dynamic will be critical during a cycle where Trump may mount another White House run. LaHood points to the NRCC’s 2019 Spring Dinner, where Trump was the featured speaker. LaHood chaired the event and says the group “raised the most money we’ve ever raised at a Spring Dinner.”
A former state and federal prosecutor, LaHood says his experience persuading juries is applicable to fundraising. And he’ll need to be persuasive during the 2024 cycle, where GOP donors will be inundated with requests to give their dollars to presidential campaigns. It would be LaHood’s job to make sure these donors don’t neglect the House.
“It becomes a different strategy when we take over and what we have to do. And obviously I hope we win it back with 40 seats. But that becomes tougher to defend— a new majority with that many,” LaHood said. “And again, I go back to fundraising is more important than ever.”
— Max Cohen
The Punch Up Profile: Daniela Fernandez
As part of The Punch Up, which launched in May, we’ll be featuring four trailblazers who are leading the charge for change when it comes to racial equity and sustainability.
We’re excited to share our third Punch Up profile, which features Daniela Fernandez, founder and CEO of Sustainable Ocean Alliance. We sat down with Fernandez to discuss her climate entrepreneurship story.
Check out the full profile here.
Here are the top takeaways from our conversation:
→ | Fernandez encouraged young people to “take matters into [their] own hands” to fight climate change. |
“We can’t simply be angry at this moment. We truly have to be doers,” Fernandez told us. “Simply pointing the finger at governments and corporations and demanding more isn’t going to cut it anymore. We need civil society to do their part. You need to ask yourself, ‘How can you contribute.’”
→ | Fernandez credited President Joe Biden for passing climate change provisions in the Inflation Reduction Act, but she still believes Biden could be doing more by declaring a climate emergency. |
“We also need to change the way that we’re signaling the world, that we are recognizing that we are in a climate emergency, that we need more funding in this space,” Fernandez said. “And then we need every single sector to start moving in that direction.”
→ | Fernandez called on the public sector to match the urgency of climate innovators that Sustainable Ocean Alliance supports through grants and mentorship programs. |
“What we’re doing at Sustainable Ocean Alliance is investing in people and solutions that are practically building a better future for us now. And we’re also looking at can we make saving our planet profitable? How can we make it scalable?”
— Max Cohen
DOWNTOWN DOWNLOAD
→ | Porterfield, Fettig & Sears is partnering with two top players in financial policy. James Ballentine, former head of congressional relations and political affairs for the American Bankers Association, and Dan Quan, a former senior official at the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, will serve as “senior advisors” to the lobbying firm. |
Ballentine departed the ABA in April and founded Ballentine Strategies. Quan, one of the CFPB’s earliest hires focusing on fintech policy, co-founded the venture capital fund NevCaut Ventures. As the firm’s first advisers – as opposed to full staff – the pair will provide analysis and insight to PFS and its clients on strategy but stop short of actual lobbying.
– Brendan Pedersen
PRESENTED BY META
THE AGENDA
New Dems push for Child Tax Credit action during lame duck
A group of 51 members of the New Democrat Coalition are urging Democratic leaders to “prioritize the enhanced [Child Tax Credit] in any end-of-year package.”
Democrats hail the enhanced Child Tax Credit, which was enacted as part of the American Rescue Plan but expired late last year, as a critical anti-poverty initiative. Extending the monthly payment to families was part of the failed Build Back Better Act. The provision was not included in the Inflation Reduction Act.
Read the full letter, which was sent to Speaker Nancy Pelosi, House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn, here.
The letter also calls for the House to “fix the punitive Republican R&D tax change to foster the competitiveness and cutting-edge innovation of the U.S. economy and American businesses.”
Both of these seem like longshots. But it does illustrate the pressure leadership will be under from members to squeeze more and more into the lame duck session.
It’s unlikely either of these goals will be achieved, though.
→ | A note: a number of Democrats in tough races signed onto the letter, including Reps. Vicente Gonzalez (Texas), Sharice Davids (Kan.), Annie Kuster (N.H.), Chrissy Houlahan (Pa.), Cindy Axne (Iowa), Sean Casten (Ill.), Steven Horsford (Nev.), Susie Lee (Nev.) and David Trone (Md.). |
— Max Cohen
THE CAMPAIGN
→ | Former Speaker John Boehner will go to Colorado next week to hold a fundraiser for Joe O’Dea, the GOP candidate for the Senate in the state. |
→ | Eric Schmidt, the former CEO of Google, gave $395,000 to Fair Fight, the political action committee founded by Stacey Abrams. |
→ | A group called 911 Justice Inc. is running an ad against the LIV Golf tour. It’s a fascinating spot that basically suggests Saudi Arabia, which fundS the tour, is ripping off Americans. That allows the Saudis to be able to afford to pay golfers handsome salaries. |
– Jake Sherman
FRONTS
PRESENTED BY META
MOMENTS
9 a.m.: President Joe Biden will get his daily intelligence briefing.
12:25 p.m.: Biden will leave the White House for Andrews, where he will fly to Syracuse, N.Y. Karine Jean-Pierre will gaggle en route.
3:30 p.m.: Biden will speak about Micron’s investment in chip manufacturing in upstate New York and give a speech contrasting the GOP and Democrats’ economic policies.
5:15 p.m.: Biden will leave Syracuse for Delaware, where he will spend the night.
CLIP FILE
NYT
→ | “How Mike Lindell’s Pillow Business Propels the Election Denial Movement,” by Alexandra Berzon, Charles Homans and Ken Bensinger |
→ | “Biden Faces New Challenges Holding Together a Coalition to Support Ukraine,” by Peter Baker in Washington and Steven Erlanger in Brussels |
WaPo
→ | “Democrats scramble into defensive posture in final stage of midterms,” by Annie Linskey |
WSJ
→ | “Another Railroad Union Rejects Contract,” by Esther Fung |
→ | “Augusta National Golf Club Under Investigation in DOJ Antitrust Probe,” by Louise Radnofsky and Andrew Beaton |
→ | “Elon Musk’s Twitter Takeover Close at Hand as Banks Begin to Turn Over $13 Billion of Cash,” by Laura Cooper, Alexander Saeedy and Cara Lombardo |
Bloomberg
→ | “Xi Says China Can Work With US Before Possible Biden Meeting,” by Rebecca Choong Wilkins and Jing Li |
AP
→ | “Election Day is Nov. 8, but legal challenges already begin,” by Colleen Long |
Arizona Republic
→ | “Blake Masters, GOP Senate challenger, getting late boost from $3.7 million Super PAC ad buy,” by Alison Steinbach |
Atlanta Journal-Constitution:
→ | “On the Georgia Trail: Warnock shifts strategy as 2nd woman accuses Walker,” by Anjali Huynh, Shannon McCaffrey, Greg Bluestein and Tia Mitchell |
PRESENTED BY META
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With the metaverse, students in a classroom will be able to travel to the depths of our galaxy, helping them get up close to the planets and gain a deeper understanding of how our solar system works.
The metaverse may be virtual, but the impact will be real.
Editorial photos provided by Getty Images. Political ads courtesy of AdImpact.
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