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PRESENTED BY
THE TOP
Happy Tuesday morning.
For years, Democrats have fervently wished that Donald Trump would be hauled in front of a judge one day to face serious criminal charges. Well, today is that day.
The problem – it could all backfire on them.
Trump, the first former president to be indicted in U.S. history, will surrender at the office of Manhattan D.A Alvin Bragg. Trump will then be taken to Judge Juan Merchan for his arraignment at 2:15 p.m. Trump won’t be handcuffed or get a mugshot. But he will have to post bail – if Merchan orders it.
Acknowledging the “monumental significance” of the case, Merchan ruled Monday night there will be no cameras, cell phones or even laptops allowed in the arraignment. Five pool photographers will be brought in briefly before the proceedings begin and then hustled out. A video camera will be allowed outside the courtroom, but other trials on the same floor have been stopped for the day.
The indictment handed down by the Manhattan grand jury hasn’t been unsealed yet, so we don’t know what charges Trump faces. Michael Isikoff at Yahoo reported Trump will be hit with 34 felony counts for falsifying business records, but that hasn’t been confirmed so far.
The strength of Bragg’s case against Trump is unknown too. Trump has denied any wrongdoing, and he’s repeatedly lambasted Bragg and the D.A.’s wife, Jamila Ponton Bragg. On Monday, Trump accused the couple of leaking details on the indictment to Isikoff and demanded Bragg be charged:
“I know the reporter and so, unfortunately, does [Bragg]. This means that he MUST BE IMMEDIATELY INDICTED. Now, if he wants to really clean up his reputation, he will do the honorable thing and, as District Attorney, INDICT HIMSELF. He will go down in Judicial history, and his Trump Hating wife will be, I am sure, very proud of him!”
The core of the case against Trump revolves around an alleged $130,000 hush-money payment to former porn star Stormy Daniels just before the 2016 presidential election.
Trump reportedly began an affair with Daniels in 2006, shortly after Trump’s wife Melania Trump gave birth to their son Barron. Former Trump lawyer Michael Cohen – who later pled guilty to federal criminal charges related to the episode – acted as a go-between for the payment. Cohen was reimbursed for “legal expenses” by the Trump Organization.
But there could be more. In 2016, former Playboy model Karen McDougal tried to sell her story about an alleged affair with Trump. The National Enquirer paid McDougal $150,000 but never ran her story. Cohen reportedly signed a deal to cover the cost of the McDougal payment but that agreement later fell apart. The Wall Street Journal broke the McDougal story just days before the 2016 election. The WSJ also broke the Stormy Daniels story in 2018.
Here’s a good CBS News timeline on the Daniels-Cohen-McDougal-Trump allegations. Federal prosecutors were aware of all this in 2018 when Cohen pled guilty.
Today’s proceedings are taking place under heavy security. Trump, as usual, will be guarded by the Secret Service. The NYPD has had barricades up for the last two days outside both the courthouse and Trump Tower, where Trump stayed Monday night.
“While there may be some rabble rousers thinking about coming to our city tomorrow, our message is clear and simple: Control yourselves,” New York City Mayor Eric Adams warned protestors at a Monday news conference.
Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) will lead a rally this morning for Trump at a park near Bragg’s office. We’re told that a half-dozen or more House GOP members could attend, but they’re being warned to keep quiet for security reasons.
Of course, MTG got into it with Adams on Twitter Monday night. Because why not?
Trump is planning his own rally tonight back at Mar-a-Lago, and we expect more lawmakers there too.
Will Bragg’s case hold together while Trump hammers him both in and out of the courtroom? How will Cohen – an admitted felon who was disbarred in 2019 – come off to a jury? What about other witnesses?
We’ll point out that there’s never been a defendant in U.S. history like Trump. No defendant ever could command such media coverage or rile up legions of dedicated supporters – millions of them. Prosecutors usually have an enormous advantage over defendants. Not here.
Looking at the wall-to-wall coverage Trump received Monday as he flew to New York City, Trump is in the middle of the biggest story in the world. And that’s where he wants to be.
Coverage
NYT: Trump, on Eve of Surrender, Adds Former U.S. Prosecutor to Defense Team,” Benjamin Weiser, William K. Rashbaum and Maggie Haberman
WaPo: “Trump in New York to face criminal charges after hush-money probe,” by Rosalind S. Helderman, Carol D. Leonnig, John Wagner and Josh Dawsey
CNN: “Judge won’t let news cameras broadcast Trump’s full court appearance,” by Tierney Sneed
– John Bresnahan
PRESENTED BY TIKTOK
TikTok is building systems tailor-made to address concerns around data security. What’s more, these systems will be managed by a U.S.-based team specifically tasked with managing all access to U.S. user data and securing the TikTok platform. It’s part of our commitment to securing personal data while still giving the global TikTok experience people know and love.
COMP’ COMEUPPANCE
Clawing back banker pay has bipartisan buy-in on the Hill
We’ve heard a lot of chatter on Capitol Hill about one legislative fix or another since Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank collapsed last month. Progressives want to repeal a 2018 deregulation bill. Expanding federal deposit insurance levels got a lot of play.
Here’s the deal: Financial services reform bills are always a tough sell on the Hill.
So we were surprised to hear widespread bipartisan support for an idea first pushed by the White House – make it easier for federal bank regulators to claw back bank executives’ pay if their institution fails. Sens. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), Josh Hawley (R-Mo.), Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev.) and Mike Braun (R-Ind.) introduced a bill last week that would allow that.
The legislative road ahead is tricky, but the fact that there’s any bipartisan interest in clawback reform is significant.
The idea is broadly popular among Democrats. Rep. Jim Himes (D-Conn.), who serves on the House Financial Services Committee, told us that bank officials shouldn’t get paid “in cases where management is or should be aware” of significant problems but took “no meaningful action.”
Yet the more eye-opening takeaway is how many Republicans in both chambers are also open to the idea.
Rep. Bryan Steil (R-Wis.), who serves on Financial Services, said the proposal was “absolutely worthy of looking at,” especially regarding banker bonuses.
Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R-Mo.), a former banker who also sits on the panel, said if managers did so poorly they might “face jail time or could be sued and lose in a court of law. I think that would be something that we could probably look at and support – to try and claw back in that situation.”
Rep. William Timmons (R-S.C.) told us he surprised his staff with an interest in clawback legislation.
“There just needs to be consequences,” Timmons said. “It doesn’t need to be draconian, but if you made a whole bunch of money and then you cause your bank to fail, and it adversely impacts millions of people, something should happen.”
There’s notable interest from Republicans on the Senate Banking Committee too. Sen. Mike Crapo (R-Idaho), the panel’s former chair, said he was “generally reluctant” to give the federal government more power over private sector management.
But “when there are actions that are abusive and sometimes even, in fact, illegal, I don’t see a problem with the regulatory authorities being able to claw back that kind of compensation,” Crapo added.
There are, of course, a million places along the way where this effort could fall apart. Many of the Republicans open to the thrust of this reform effort want it to focus on bank management guilty of crimes or clear ethical violations.
A bill that’s more open-ended would be a tougher sell.
“I’m open to the concept,” Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said of a clawback proposal. “What I want to do is make sure that we have clear definitions.”
Republican opposition could also grow if the banking lobby mobilizes to kill the proposal.
Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.) said he would “absolutely not” support any legislative change. Rep. Frank Lucas (R-Okla.) said former bank executives trying and failing to find employment at a new bank was “the ultimate clawback.”
And several lawmakers have told us they’re skeptical that Congress gets more than one shot at a financial policy bill this year. Progressives who are seeking additional reforms beyond strengthening clawback powers might resist a skinny bill, however.
We asked Warren about that dilemma. Here’s her response:
“By getting pieces that we can get sign-on for, we get momentum going. I’m pushing on all fronts and trying to find partners everywhere. We need to make a change.”
– Brendan Pedersen
LONE STAR STATE
Texas delegation staying out of Gonzales primary fight
It’s no secret that Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-Texas) has been annoying Republicans both back home and on Capitol Hill for his approach to immigration.
Gonzales’ resistance to a hardline border security bill, in part, prompted a censure by the Texas GOP last month. He’s also been subject to political attacks from conservative Republicans and attracted three potential primary challengers.
But members of the Texas GOP delegation – the biggest Republican group in the House – appear reluctant to get drawn into the fight. No one we spoke with showed any interest in helping to replace Gonzales with a more conservative Republican.
“I know he’s said some things, but I’m not following it,” Rep. Roger Williams (R-Texas) told us.
Rep. Ronny Jackson (R-Texas) said he would “absolutely not” get involved in a primary effort against Gonzales. Jackson called Gonzales a “good friend,” and said he wants to sit down with his colleague to talk through any concerns over the party’s proposals.
Even Rep. Chip Roy (R-Texas), whose border security bill has been held up by Gonzales and moderate Republicans, said he didn’t want to engage when asked about primary threats to his fellow Texan.
“I’m not getting into that game,” Roy said. “We’re here to do a job. I have no interest in getting into personality stuff. I feel pretty strongly about that, so let other people figure that out.”
Gonzales has been the most vocal critic of Roy’s signature border bill, and the two have frequently tussled over the measure in recent weeks. The Roy plan would permit the Homeland Security secretary to bar undocumented migrants from entering the United States until the federal government gets “operational control” of the U.S.-Mexico border.
In a tweet last week, Gonzales even threatened to vote against a debt-limit increase if Republicans bring “un-Christian, anti-immigrant bills to the floor.”
Roy then took the argument to the House floor, calling it “un-Christian to allow migrants to die and call that compassion.”
Rep. Brian Babin, who co-chairs the Border Security Caucus, was the only Texas Republican we spoke to who was explicit in his criticism of Gonzales. Babin said Gonzales, who is a “good friend,” is “absolutely wrong” and should know better.
Even before the row over immigration, Gonzales was rebuked by some Republicans for supporting a sweeping gun control bill following the Uvalde massacre in his district last year. He also faced criticism for backing a bill to codify same-sex marriage.
The two-term lawmaker now must fend off at least two declared primary challengers. One is Julie Clark, the Medina County GOP chair who initiated the censure efforts against Gonzales. Retired Immigration and Customs Enforcement Agent Victor Avila is also running.
Frank Lopez Jr., a self-described “U.S. Border Patriot” who ran against Gonzales as an independent last cycle, is exploring another bid too, according to local news reports.
Gonzales brushed off his potential primary challengers when we asked and touted his Q1 fundraising numbers, an impressive $1.2 million-haul we scooped last week.
Meanwhile, conservative members outside the state delegation continue to Gonzales out by name. Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) blamed Gonzales for delayed action on border legislation at a recent Trump rally. We also reported Rep. Andy Biggs (R-Ariz.), another border hawk, met with Avila, Gonzales’ challenger, last week at Capitol Hill Club.
It’s not yet clear if Gaetz, Biggs or anyone else will endorse a conservative challenger to Gonzales. But we’ll keep our eyes on it.
— Mica Soellner
PRESENTED BY TIKTOK
TikTok takes concerns about data security seriously. We’re making significant operational changes to ensure layers of protection and oversight.
2024 SENATE
Cornyn ramps up fundraising for ‘24 Senate Republicans
Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas), one of the top GOP fundraisers, is stepping up his campaign operation in order to boost Senate Republicans heading into the 2024 cycle.
Cornyn is setting up his joint fundraising committee once again, the Cornyn Victory Committee, according to a source familiar with the operation. The committee has already taken in more than $1 million, with events scheduled for a number of GOP senators in the next few months.
Cornyn has done or is scheduled to headline events for Republican Sens. Marsha Blackburn (Tenn.), Kevin Cramer (N.D.), Deb Fischer (Neb.), Roger Wicker (Miss.) and Pete Ricketts (Neb.), with more being scheduled, said the source.
The Texas Republican raised more than $11 million through the Cornyn Victory Committee during the 2021-2022 cycle. Funds from the joint committee went to nearly 30 Senate campaigns and the NRSC.
Conryn also helped rake in another $9 million for the NRSC, candidates and incumbents. Cornyn’s haul trailed only Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and former NRSC Chair Rick Scott (Fla.). The Texas Republican twice served as NRSC chair, and he’s developed a strong fundraising network in Texas and nationally.
Senate Democrats face a very tough map next year. They’re defending 23 seats versus only 10 for Republicans. No Senate GOP incumbents are running in states won by President Joe Biden in 2020, while three Democrats – Sens. Sherrod Brown (Ohio), Jon Tester (Mont.) and Joe Manchin (W.Va.) – are in states won by former President Donald Trump. Brown and Tester have already announced they’re running again, while Manchin won’t make up his mind until later in the year.
— John Bresnahan
THE CAMPAIGN
News: Rep. Elissa Slotkin’s (D-Mich.) Senate campaign raised $3 million in the first quarter of 2023, according to sources familiar with the fundraising efforts.
Some more details: 89% of donations were $100 or under. Donations came from 80 of Michigan’s 83 counties. Slotkin launched her Senate bid on Feb. 27, so these numbers represent roughly a month of fundraising.
Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-Iowa) will report raising more than $750,000 in the first quarter of 2023. Hinson is an appropriator and one of the up-and-coming lawmakers in the House GOP.
— Max Cohen
PRESENTED BY TIKTOK
TikTok’s building systems overseen by a U.S. Data Security team.
MOMENTS
11:30 a.m.: President Joe Biden will receive the daily briefing in the Oval Office.
1:30 p.m.: Press briefing by White House Press Secretary Karine Jean-Pierre.
2:45 p.m.: Biden will meet with his Council of Advisors on Science and Technology in the State Dining Room.
CLIP FILE
NYT
→ | “Finland Deals a Blow to Putin as It Enters NATO,” by Steven Erlanger |
WaPo
→ | “Former Hogan chief of staff Roy McGrath dies after confrontation with FBI,” by Steve Thompson, Ovetta Wiggins, Perry Stein and Martin Weil |
WSJ
→ | “Signature Bank Insiders Sold $100 Million in Stock During Crypto Surge,” by Tom McGinty and Ben Foldy |
AP
→ | “Chicago chooses between progressive, moderate for mayor,” by Sara Burnett in Chicago |
Politico
→ | “Wisconsin’s record-shattering Supreme Court race barrels to an end,” by Zach Montellaro and Madison Fernandez |
Editorial photos provided by Getty Images. Political ads courtesy of AdImpact.
PRESENTED BY TIKTOK
TikTok is committed to protecting user data. We’re building tailor-made data security systems, which will be overseen by a team based right here in America. This team has been specifically tasked with managing all access to U.S. user data and securing the TikTok platform. What’s more, TikTok has partnered with a trusted, third-party U.S. cloud provider to keep all U.S. user data here on American soil. These are just some of the serious operational changes and investments we’ve undertaken to ensure layers of protection and oversight. They’re also a clear example of our commitment to protecting both personal data and platform’s integrity, while still allowing people to have the global experience they know and love.
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