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PRESENTED BY
BY JOHN BRESNAHAN, ANNA PALMER, JAKE SHERMAN AND HEATHER CAYGLE
WITH MAX COHEN AND CHRISTIAN HALL
THE TOP
Happy Wednesday morning morning.
The Senate will vote today on whether to invoke cloture on the Women’s Health Protection Act, legislation designed to codify the 1973 Roe v. Wade decision into law. It’s a big moment for the Senate, especially in the wake of a leaked Supreme Court draft decision that showed that five conservative justices were ready to overrule Roe and end access to abortion services for millions of American women.
Yet in reality, the result of today’s vote is predetermined. The Democratic effort to overcome the GOP filibuster against Sen. Richard Blumenthal’s (D-Conn.) abortion rights proposal will fail. Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) will vote against cloture, as will pro-choice GOP Sens. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Susan Collins (R-Maine). This is what the trio did in February on this bill, two months before the blockbuster Supreme Court leak.
Democrats, in fact, don’t even have 50 votes, much less the needed 60 for cloture. That means they also lack the votes needed to end the legislative filibuster by using the “nuclear option” – a Senate rules change by a simple majority vote – the only other even conceivable option to pass this legislation. Democrats didn’t discuss ending the filibuster during their weekly party lunch on Tuesday, despite public calls from Sens. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) and Kirsten Gillibrand (D-N.Y.), among others, to do so in order to protect Roe.
You may be asking yourself about the political wisdom of holding this vote if it’s certain to fail. But Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and his leadership team say it’s absolutely essential to show that they’re willing to fight for abortion rights and put every senator on the record. This debate over Roe is no longer an abstract exercise, they note, but a political crisis that needs immediate attention. Here’s Schumer:
“[W]e are making sure that … every senator will have to vote and every, every American will see how they voted. And I believe the Republican Party, the MAGA Republican Party, will suffer the consequences electorally when the American people see that.”
The Senate Republican Conference is overwhelmingly against abortion rights and wants to kick the decision back to state legislatures. But our conversations with some Republican aides over the last few days reveal a sense of confusion over the political impact of standing steadfastly against all abortions.There’s certainly private nervousness over the fallout from this issue with independent voters.
Blumenthal told us in an interview Tuesday that his legislation is critical because it seeks to prevent states from any further legal challenges to the status quo of abortion laws prior to a Roe decision.
“Part of what Roe precludes are restrictions like admitting privileges, ultrasounds, mandatory waiting periods, which have been litigated to violate [rights], but which states continue to pass. And the whole purpose is to say to the states, ‘These issues have been decided. You can’t re-litigate them now. It’s part of Roe that these undue burdens are precluded by Roe.’”
Yet some of the urgency here is the fact that Democrats are facing the prospect of Roe being overturned while at the same time they’re contending with losing their majorities in the House and Senate. Over the next few days, you’ll hear a lot of this kind of talk, as voiced here by Sen. Jackie Rosen (D-Nev.):
“We have to take that fear, we have to take that anger that we’re feeling, channel it into action to defend our majority. You have to elect more pro-choice senators. We’re not living in a hypothetical.”
This is new: House Democrats will take to the steps of the Capitol Friday to rally for abortion rights. And the House Judiciary Committee will hold a hearing next week titled “Revoking Your Rights: The Ongoing Crisis in Abortion Care Access” about the post-Roe world.
The House passes Ukraine aid, with 57 GOP no votes
The House passed nearly $40 billion for the Ukrainian war on Wednesday night, just hours after the legislation was introduced following a bipartisan, bicameral deal between GOP and Democratic appropriators.
Fifty-seven House Republicans voted against the bill, as the GOP lawmakers griped that they didn’t have enough time to review the 30-page legislation, dubbed the Additional Ukraine Supplemental Appropriations Act.
Among the Republicans opposing the bill: Republican Study Committee Chair Jim Banks (Ind.), House Republican Conference Vice Chair Mike Johnson (La.) and Rep. Jim Jordan (Ohio). House Freedom Caucus Scott Perry (R-Pa.) and other hardline Republicans in that group also voted no.
House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy, Minority Whip Steve Scalise and Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik all voted yes.
Noteworthy – There were no House Democrats voting against the package, including the Squad.
The Ukaine legislation will now move to the Senate, which has promised to take it up and pass it quickly.
Our bad. In last night’s PM edition, we misstated how much food aid funding there is in the Ukraine package. The total is $5 billion.
Also: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the April Consumer Price Index at 8:30 a.m. today. CPI tracks inflation. Stocks were up this morning in pre-market trading. The AP reports this morning that inflation “might have dipped.”
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
At Chevron, we’re working to help power a lower carbon future. We’re exploring ways to expand our hydrogen fuel capabilities and partnering with vehicle makers and commercial truck fleet operators to scale the hydrogen fuel industry. And, we’re collaborating with Iwatani to construct 30 hydrogen fueling sites in California by 2026. Because we believe innovation can power a brighter future.
INTRODUCING THE PUNCH UP
Punchbowl News launches new ESG platform, The Punch Up
We are excited to share with you our new platform, The Punch Up, in partnership with Target.
The Punch Up is a platform vital to Punchbowl News, and something we’ve been working on for a while now.
This multi-pronged initiative will bring together a wide variety of voices and experiences in the ESG space. We will convene leaders and inform our community of readers. In our inaugural year, we will be focused on two pillars: Racial Equity and Sustainability.
→ | The Punch Up has a living and breathing dedicated space on our site that is now live check it out now. |
We officially kicked off The Punch Up with members of our community last night at The Eaton. View photos from the event here.
A big thank you to our partners at Target, without whom this platform wouldn’t be possible: Isaac Reyes, Kiera Fernandez, Amanda Nusz, Breanna Schafer, Laysha Ward, Maggie Henderson, Janis Lazda and Amy Oberhelman.
Raising a glass with us last night:
Marc Morial of National Urban League, Rick Wade of U.S. Chamber of Commerce, Vince Evans of the Congressional Black Caucus, Nicole Venable of Invariant, Rodell Mollineau of ROKK Solutions, Sean Broderick of P&G, Keenan Reed of Alpine Group, Christine Godinez of the House Committee on Homeland Security, Sean Harper of Ballast Research and Adjoa Asamoah of HUD.
CONGRESSIONAL TRADING
Congress stalls on stock trading ban for lawmakers
Three months ago, Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer backed efforts to curb stock trading by members of Congress. The two Democratic leaders were responding to a barrage of media reports on stock trading by lawmakers and aides, often in companies that had business before Congress.
Dozens of lawmakers failed to disclose their transactions in a timely manner, with the value of trades running into the millions of dollars over multiple years. The House Ethics Committee has opened several investigations into these allegations following reviews by the Office of Congressional Ethics, the independent watchdog agency.
Yet since that time, nothing has happened on the legislative front. Nada. Zip. Zero.
Senior Democratic aides, in fact, told us that the effort to reform the STOCK Act is stalled and there’s no path forward at the moment. One even described the effort as “in ‘Nowhereland.’”
As Sen. Jon Ossoff (D-Ga), one of the lead sponsors of the Senate effort, pointed out to us this week, lawmakers are quickly running out of time to do much else this year before politics overwhelms the legislative calendar.
“We’re getting short on time,” Ossoff said. “The legislation that I offered with Sen. [Mark] Kelly is ready for the floor. Discussions continue to consider other proposals that others may have. I want to get legislation to the floor that bans members of Congress from trading stock.”
The impasse comes after Democratic leaders spent the last few months reviewing a variety of options to amend the 2012 STOCK Act, which governs how members disclose the purchase or sale of stocks. Democrats have been considering ways to eliminate the trading of individual stocks by lawmakers, revising other ethics laws covering members and staff and putting new restrictions on federal judges as well. The House Administration Committee had a hearing on the issue earlier this spring.
But as we wrote in February when we first broke the news Democratic leaders were looking to do this, the issue is very, very complicated.
Publicly, Democratic leaders are still trying to project momentum.
“We’ve had several meetings with the group of senators who are pursuing this and we hope to have legislation and vote on it this year,” Schumer said Tuesday when we asked him about the status of this legislative review.
Behind the scenes, however, lawmakers and aides have wrestled with the complexities of barring members of Congress and their families from trading stocks. So far, they’ve found no path forward.
Another complication is senior Democrats want to include language that would also cover the federal judiciary, including the Supreme Court. “The Supreme Court has no disclosure, it has no reporting of stock transactions, and it makes important decisions every day,” Pelosi said in February.
Congress did pass a bipartisan bill late last month that would hold federal judges to the same STOCK Act standards that other government officials, including lawmakers, must meet. It would also create an online database for judicial financial disclosures. That bill is awaiting Biden’s signature.
2022
Trump loses in Nebraska but wins in West Virginia
Charles Herbster, former President Donald Trump’s candidate for governor of Nebraska, lost his GOP primary race last night to Jim Pillen, who had the endorsement of the Republican establishment, including current Nebraska GOP Gov. Pete Ricketts.
Pillen got 33.3% of the vote, Herbster had 30.4% and State Sen. Brett Lindstrom had 26.1%.
We’re not going to make too much of Herbster’s defeat. The wealthy farmer turned candidate was accused last month of groping eight women during public events, including a GOP state senator. Herbster’s campaign never recovered from the allegations, despite Trump’s continued support.
The lesson here – Trump remains the most powerful person in the Republican Party. He’s going to win some races and lose others.
For example: Trump-endorsed Rep. Alex Mooney (R-W.Va.) handily beat Rep. David McKinley (R-W.Va.) in a nasty member-on-member primary. Mooney got 54.2% of the vote and McKinley got 35.6%.
There’s one other angle worth noting on the Mooney-McKinley contest: Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) was backing McKinley, while Trump supported Mooney. Manchin even cut an ad for McKinley, but it wasn’t enough.
Here’s our friend Manu Raju of CNN on Twitter: “Mooney, in WV, said of Manchin tonight: ‘I’m 2-0 against him. Maybe I should make it 3-0.’” Manchin, 74, is up for reelection in 2024.
The Coverage
→ | WaPo: “Trump-backed Herbster, accused of groping, loses to Pillen in Neb.; Mooney wins in W.Va.,” by David Weigel |
→ | CNN: “4 takeaways from the Nebraska and West Virginia primaries,” by Gregory Krieg, Jeff Zeleny and Dan Merica |
→ | Lincoln Journal Star: “Pillen wins hard-fought Republican gubernatorial nomination,” by Dan Walton and Shelley Kulhanek |
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
Chevron is collaborating with Iwatani to build 30 hydrogen fueling sites in California by 2026. Because we believe collaboration can help build a brighter tomorrow.
THE CAMPAIGN
→ | Defending Main Street super PAC, which is affiliated with the Republican Main Street Partnership, got $175,000 from Ryan Salame. Here’s what’s interesting: Salame is the co-CEO of FTX Digital Markets. FTX, a crypto company, has taken a prominent role in politics of late. Its founder, Sam Bankman-Fried, is single-handedly propping up a host of Democratic candidates across the country. We reported on this last week. |
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PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
FRONTS
MOMENTS
All times eastern
10 a.m.: President Joe Biden will leave for Andrews, where he’ll fly to Chicago. Karine Jean-Pierre will gaggle on Air Force One. … House Minority Whip Steve Scalise and other Republicans will hold a news conference after their closed party meeting.
10:05 a.m.: House Democratic Caucus Chair Hakeem Jeffries, Vice Chair Pete Aguilar and other Democrats will hold a news conference after their party meeting.
11 a.m.: House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer will hold a pen and pad with reporters.
11:45 a.m.: House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy will hold a news conference on DHS’s disinformation board.
12:15 p.m.: Biden will arrive in Chicago.
1 p.m.: Speaker Nancy Pelosi will hold a photo opportunity with Jordanian King Abdullah.
1:45 p.m.: Biden will visit a family farm to talk about the impact of the war in Ukraine on food prices.
2:15 p.m.: Biden will speak about what his administration is doing to support farmers.
2:45 p.m.: Pelosi will hold a photo opportunity with Italian Prime Minister Mario Draghi.
5 p.m.: Biden will speak at the IBEW’s international convention.
5:50 p.m.: Biden will speak at a DNC fundraiser.
7:40 p.m.: Biden will leave Chicago for D.C.
9:35 p.m.: Biden will land at Andrews. He’s expected back at the White House at 9:55 p.m.
CLIP FILE
NYT
→ | “Fed Confronts Why It May Have Acted Too Slowly on Inflation,” by Jeanna Smialek |
→ | “For Financial Help and Counsel, Hunter Biden Turns to Hollywood Lawyer,” by Ken Vogel and Mike Schimdt |
→ | “Federal Judge Dashes Democrats’ Hopes for N.Y. District Maps,” by Nick Fandos |
→ | “Al Jazeera Journalist Is Killed During Clashes in West Bank,” by Raja Abdulrahim in Jerusalem |
WSJ
→ | “Biden Stresses Contrast With GOP Economic Agenda as Midterm Challenges Grow,” by Ken Thomas and Catherine Lucey |
AP
→ | “US, Western Europe fret over uncertain Ukraine war endgame,” by Matthew Lee |
Politico
→ | “Alito’s draft opinion overturning Roe is still the only one circulated inside Supreme Court,” by Josh Gerstein, Alexander Ward and Ryan Lizza |
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
At Chevron, we believe the future of transportation is lower carbon, and hydrogen fuel can help us get there. We’re partnering with vehicle makers and commercial truck fleet operators to help build demand for hydrogen fuel in heavy-duty transportation. So that delivering the goods the world needs most can be more responsible. Because we believe innovation can help power a brighter future.
Editorial photos provided by Getty Images
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