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PRESENTED BY
BY JOHN BRESNAHAN, ANNA PALMER, JAKE SHERMAN AND HEATHER CAYGLE
WITH MAX COHEN AND CHRISTIAN HALL
THE TOP
Happy Thursday morning.
News: Frontline House Democrats – the party’s most endangered incumbents this November – have been pressing party leaders in recent days to step up legislative efforts to save their majority.
The roughly 30 House Democrats have long known the political headwinds are against them this yea. Redistricting, inflation, the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, an uneven economy are all big problems. Add to that, the fact that the party in power generally loses seats in the midterms.
But many of these vulnerable Democrats returned to Washington after a week at home particularly spooked. Their frustrations are running high. They’re worried about a lack of legislative victories in 2022. And they badly want Democratic leaders and committee chairs to push more bills that help address the concerns of everyday Americans.
In other words, these Democrats want their leaders to do something to try to reverse the party’s political fortunes before it’s too late.
The entreaties, described by several members of the Democratic leadership and Frontliners, have been relayed in multiple conversations this week.
House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer – who’s been hearing it from Frontliners – brought up their frustrations during a meeting of Democratic committee chairs this week.
Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.), who represents a competitive district outside Richmond, Va., put it this way: “We’re pushing for some of these common-sense bills that have bipartisan support, many of them – most of them – have companion pieces in the Senate.”
Here’s more from Spanberger:
“I think I can probably broadly speak for everybody – I’m worried about my race. I know on the ground what I’m hearing, I know on the ground my challenges, I know on the ground my successes, I know on the ground how hard I’m working. But I also don’t control the schedule. I also don’t control what gets to the floor. So I think where you see a lot of people being really vocal is on the legislation that needs to move, on the legislation that people can speak to and explain.
“Legislation that actually really matters. Bills that are responsive to what people are talking to us about. And bills that are responsive to the moment, to the time, to the challenges that are real in people’s lives.
“I’m appreciative that Leader Hoyer has been pretty responsive to that. I think he’s been making some movement with some of the committee chairs.”
The thing to know about the Frontliners’ frustration is its multifaceted and complicated. Yes, they’re frustrated at Democratic leaders for not pressuring committee chairs more to move legislation that they can take back home and tout to voters. Yes, they’re frustrated with several committee chairs for prioritizing their own agendas or doing too little with just a few precious months before the midterms.
Yes, they’re frustrated with their own Democratic colleagues, some of whom are in safe districts and won’t, in their minds, just hold their nose and vote for bills that could help Democrats hold onto the majority. Yes, they’re frustrated with President Joe Biden and the White House for not having a consistent rebuttal to Republican attacks. Sometimes it’s “Putin’s price hike,” lately their target has been GOP Sen. Rick Scott’s (Fla.) plan to raise taxes.
And yes, they’re frustrated with forces largely out of their control, including supply chain disruptions caused by Covid and record prices for gas and groceries.
Yet the reality is that some of these vulnerable Democrats are searching for a “Hail Mary” to save the House Democratic majority. And that’s easier said than done.
The leadership has responded to some of these complaints. The House Agriculture Committee is crafting legislation to address the lack of competition in the meatpacking industry. The Energy and Commerce Committee is working on mental health bills and legislation dealing with the opioid crisis. The House will vote next week on addressing price gouging in the oil industry. House-Senate negotiations on a major package to boost competition with China in high-tech research and manufacturing have finally begun.
“The Frontliners have some individual bills that they’re interested in, and I want to make sure we can get them some success on these bills,” Hoyer told us in an interview. “They’re coming to me frustrated that they can’t get movement on their bills.”
Hoyer added: “There’s a lot of things pressing, and everybody’s got their own interests. But I want to make sure that our Frontliners – who are critically important to us in maintaining our majority, and very frankly, defending democracy – get heard.”
Yet there are clearly tensions within the caucus over what’s doable with a five-seat majority, combined with some major ideological differences between the various factions among Democrats.
Rep. Josh Gottheimer (D-N.J.), who represents a swing district outside New York City, is pushing a bill to increase funding in small police departments along with Rep. John Rutherford (R-Fla.). The House Democratic leadership has been cool to the proposal, despite a lobbying campaign on the floor this week.
Here’s what one Democratic aide told us:
“The bills would completely crack our caucus in half. They might pass with GOP votes, they might not. Leadership isn’t going to put these bills on the floor because of that.
“Biden has said he wants to increase police funding. The most appropriate way to increase police funding is through the appropriations process. Do the math. The Squad would go ballistic, ripshit.
Part of this is wishful thinking on behalf of the Frontliners. History and the polls show Democrats’ four-year-old House majority is in deep trouble. Razor-thin margins of control in the House and Senate, coupled with a GOP leadership that is largely uninterested in doing any deals as it plots its takeover in Jan. 2023, make it more difficult as well.
By the way: 180 days until Election Day.
Also: President Joe Biden put out a statement this morning commemorating 1 million deaths from Covid-19.
Biden, during a fundraiser last night in Chicago:
“But we have to take on the — MAGA Republicans — “Make America Great Again” Republicans. I think they’re the most extreme party. And that’s what the Republican Party is now. Not [every] Republican believes that. But the fact of the matter is, they run the show — the MAGA Republicans …
“We have to remember that we’re talking about a relatively small number of people who are the MAGA Republicans. We may be talking about as much as one third of the electorate. That’s more than I’d ever thought would occur. But we got to take the fight to them. We got to make our case and make it very strongly, in my opinion.
One more thing: The Senate is looking to confirm Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell today. They also will try to clear the $40-billion Ukraine aid bill.
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
At Chevron, we’re helping to build a future fueled by lower carbon energy. Today, we’re supplying Americans with the fuel they need while reducing our carbon emissions intensity in the Permian Basin, and this year, we plan to increase our production in the region by 15% over 2021 levels. We know energy demand is growing, and Chevron is working hard to help meet it.
Meet the Punch Up racial equity cohort!
As we announced yesterday, we’re excited to share more about The Punch Up, Punchbowl News’ ESG platform.
A portion of The Punch Up will be dedicated to bringing together industry experts in a cohort for an open, robust and meaningful dialogue focused on our two pillars: racial equity and sustainability.
Cohort participants include experts from the private sector, Capitol Hill, the administration and the nonprofit world, all with executive-level experience and recognized as leaders in their field.
We’re excited to share the first of our two cohorts today, focused on Racial Equity.
→ | Melissa Bradley, founding and managing partner of 1863 Ventures |
→ | Lori Castillo Martinez, chief equality officer and EVP of Salesforce |
→ | Tasha Cole, chief diversity officer and deputy executive director of DCCC |
→ | Kiera Fernandez, chief diversity and inclusion officer and senior vice president of Target |
→ | Kemba Hendrix, senior adviser of diversity, equity and inclusion of OPM |
→ | Marc Morial, president & CEO of the National Urban League |
→ | Antonio Tijerino, CEO of the Hispanic Heritage Foundation |
→ | Rick Wade, senior vice president of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce |
Read more about their experiences, inspirations and challenges here.
LEADERSHIP INTRIGUE
Race heats up for Ways and Means open seat
When Rep. Tom Reed (R-N.Y.) announced his resignation from the House this week, a new round of jockeying began over his prized seat on the Ways and Means Committee.
These seats are like gold. It’s a powerful panel that sets tax law, and its members raise piles of cash.
We’ve heard a bunch of names in the mix so far. Rep. David Kustoff (R-Tenn.) is the front runner, leadership sources told us. Kustoff is on the Financial Services Committee, and he would have to give that spot up for Ways and Means.
Also in the mix: Rep. Michelle Steel (R-Calif.). Steel is a first-term lawmaker, and we’re told she’s making an aggressive push for the spot. Steel was a member of the Orange County Board of Supervisors, and more notably, she was on the California Board of Equalizers, which is charged with overseeing tax revenue. Part of Steel’s case is that the western half of the country is not well represented on Ways and Means. She would be the first Korean American on the panel and only the ninth Republican woman since the committee was created in 1802.
Also in the mix: Reps. Bryan Steil (Wisc.), Beth Van Duyne (Texas), Young Kim (Calif.), Scott Fitzgerald (Wis.) and Randy Feenstra (Iowa). Of note: Steil has Paul Ryan’s old seat. Ryan was chair of Ways and Means.
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
At Chevron, we’re working to help meet growing energy demand while lowering the carbon emissions intensity of our production.
THEY’VE GOT JOKES!
Inside the Washington Press Club Foundation dinner
Kudos to the Washington Press Club Foundation for a terrific dinner last night. For those of you who don’t know, the WPCF dinner is known informally as the “congressional correspondents’ dinner.” This year’s dinner was co-chaired by our own Heather Caygle. Punchbowl News hosted the VIP pre-dinner reception.
The dinner always features Republican and Democratic speakers who do their best to play comedian. This year’s entertainers were Sen. Joni Ernst (R-Iowa) and Rep. Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.).
They were both pretty funny. Here are some highlights:
→ | Aguilar: “It’s hard to be Latino in Congress sometimes. They’re always asking me if I’m going to run for Senate in Arizona. They want to know how my brother’s doing after his run for president. And they’re offering their thoughts and prayers after my brain surgery.” … “I’m the vice chair of the House Democratic Caucus which means I’ve been hard at work dealing with all the Democrats looking for jobs in the private sector.” |
→ | Ernst: “It’s great to be with you at the 76th annual Washington Press Club congressional dinner, and as a Republican, I am used to attending these super spreader events.” |
FRONTS
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
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MOMENTS
10:15 a.m.: President Joe Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris will get their intelligence briefing.
10:45 a.m.: Speaker Nancy Pelosi will hold her weekly news conference.
11 a.m.: House Republican Conference Chair Elise Stefanik will hold a news conference on the baby formula shortage.
2:30 p.m.: Jen Psaki will brief.
5:30 p.m.: Biden will welcome ASEAN leaders to the White House. They will take a family photo.
6 p.m.: Biden will host the ASEAN leaders for dinner.
CLIP FILE
NYT
→ | “Los Angeles Mayor’s Path to U.S. Ambassadorship Is Constricting,” by Jill Cowan in Los Angeles |
→ | Supreme Court Memo: “A Leaky Supreme Court Starts to Resemble the Other Branches,” by Adam Liptak |
WaPo
→ | “Intelligence-sharing with Ukraine designed to prevent wider war,” by Shane Harris and Dan Lamothe |
→ | “Biden waives executive privilege for new set of Trump records,” by Jackie Alemany |
WSJ
→ | “Finland Says It Will Apply to Join NATO in Response to Russia’s Ukraine Invasion,” by Sune Engel Rasmussen |
AP
→ | “Russia continues steel mill airstrikes as Ukraine seeks deal,” by Oleksandr Stashevskyi in Kyiv |
Politico
→ | “NRSC reserves $53M in Senate battleground ads,” by Natalie Allison |
→ | “Senate Democrats’ imaginary majority,” by Burgess Everett |
PRESENTED BY CHEVRON
Balancing energy security, costs, and the need to reduce emissions have become an increasingly important part of the energy conversation at home and abroad. This year in the Permian Basin, Chevron plans to increase oil production by 15% over 2021 levels, while continuing to reduce both carbon and methane emissions intensities. In fact, we’re on track to reduce our methane emissions intensity by 50% from 2016 to 2028. Because energy demand is growing, and it’s only human to search for ways to help meet it.
Editorial photos provided by Getty Images
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